Pretty picture for business

Crater Lake Plaza
Photo by Bob Pennell

Cars fill the parking lot of Wal-Mart and Eagle Hardware in Crater Lake Plaza Tuesday evening. Growth in the number of such "big-box" retailers is evidence of the Rogue Valley's attractive business climate.

Survey: Valley has one of top 10 U.S. business climates

By DAVID PRESZLER

How Medford ranked

Here's a list of the 12 indicators included in the 2000 Business Opportunity Index and how Medford ranked out of 316 metro areas in each:

Population change: Absolute change in population (1990 to 2000). Medford ranked 139th, with a population growth of 34,631.

Population trend: Percentage change in population (1990 to 2000). Medford ranked 39th, growing 23.51 percent.

Private employment change: Absolute change in private sector jobs (1990 to 2000). Medford ranked 147th, adding 26,967 jobs.

Private employment trend: Percentage change in private-sector jobs (1990 to 2000). Medford ranked 37th, growing 42.6 percent.

Per capita income: Estimated per capita income for 2000. Medford ranked 187th at $23,839.

Per capita income trend: Relative change in per capita income (1990 to 2000); measures how well area keeps pace with the nation. Medford ranked 122nd.

Per capita wealth: Estimated wealth (measured by income property) per capita for 2000. Medford ranked 50th at $5,192.

Per capita wealth trend: Relative change in per capita wealth or income property (1990 to 2000); measures how well an area keeps pace with the nation. Medford ranked 60th.

Government cost: Estimated local and state government payrolls per capita for 2000. A lower cost results in a higher ranking. Medford ranked 56th at $1,765.

Government cost change: Percentage change in local and state government payrolls per capita (1990 to 2000); a lower percentage results in a higher ranking. Medford ranked 38th, up 28.76 percent.

Proprietor percentage: Estimated portion of nonfarm employment made up by business owners for 2000. Medford ranked 12th at 22.55 percent.

Proprietor/employee earnings ratio: Estimated relative income of business owners to wage earners for 2000. Medford ranked 20th at 107.66 percent, meaning business owners make 7.66 percent more than wage earners.

The Rogue Valley has been fertile ground for business in recent years, and a new study suggests that the soil remains rich.

The Medford area, which includes all of Jackson County, ranks eighth among U.S. metropolitan areas in a new index of business climate released this month.

The Business Opportunity Index compares American cities by looking at a dozen economic indicators. It was compiled by two professors from the University of Texas at El Paso, Charles Zlatkovich and Karl Putnam.

The professors ranked 316 metro areas in each of the 12 statistical categories. Then they added those rankings, using the lowest score to indicate the best business climate. The best possible score would be 12 -- number one in each category -- though no area came close to such perfection.

Boise, Idaho, led the rankings with a score of 669. Vineland, N.J., had the worst score at 3,245. Medford's score was 907, making it one of only a dozen areas -- and the only one in Oregon -- to come in under 1,000.

The statistical categories included measurements of population growth, job growth in the private sector, income, wealth, the cost of government and the rate and success of business ownership. The statistics were gathered from 1990 to 1997 and, based on that data, forecast for 2000.

The index also ranked cities based on 1995 data. In that list, Medford ranked 12th.

The index is designed to measure business growth potential, especially for typical, consumer-oriented business.

"Anything in the top 30 is a pretty stand-up performance," says Zlatkovich, who has spent 30 years analyzing local and regional economic conditions. "These are places that I would expect to do well in the next few years."

The Rogue Valley has certainly seen strong growth in consumer-driven industries such as retail and services in recent years.

For an example, one need look no further than the Crater Lake Plaza off Highway 62. In less than a decade, it's grown from an empty field to a massive retail center, thanks to big-box firms such as Costco Wholesale, Eagle Hardware and Wal-Mart.

"It's just amazing," says Mike Burrill of Burrill Real Estate, the center's lead developer. "It's beyond what we expected."

Asked what he thinks has spurred the area's overall success, Burrill says the cooperation between private industry and public agencies has been a big factor.

"There is a pro-business climate that has developed here over the last 10 years and especially the last five years," he says. "It's really unique, the way we all work together. Not everybody is playing, but a lot of people are and that's what makes it work."

"There is a pro-business climate," agrees Gordon Safley, executive director of Southern Oregon Regional Economic Development Inc. -- the most visible public-private partnership. "That's not to say that's growth at any cost, but controlled growth."

Safley says the level of interest in the area from outside has risen in recent years, including 1999. He estimates that SOREDI has received about 15 inquiries from outside companies looking to move or locate here this year, up from the seven to nine per year it had been seeing.

Bill Haas, executive director of the Chamber of Medford/Jackson County, says several factors have spurred the growth, including the area's location on the Interstate 5 corridor.

"We are positioned between major metros that are thriving," he says.

Medford's continued emergence as a shopping hub for surrounding counties has been key, Haas says.

Guy Tauer, a job market analyst with the Oregon Employment Department, notes the index doesn't consider key elements such as transportation and proximity to other large metro areas.

In fact, some factors cited by local business leaders aren't in the index at all. The index is a statistical abstract that doesn't consider intangibles such as public-private cooperation and geography.

Zlatkovich acknowledges that it's impossible to evaluate a business climate with numbers alone. But he hopes the index -- which he plans to produce annually -- will be a tool to gauge business conditions.

"These are things we feel are at least appropriate indicators of what might be a good place to do business."

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Copyright ©  The Mail Tribune 1999, Medford, Oregon USA

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