August 23, 2002
Republicans take heart from visit; cite momentum
By DANI DODGE
Mail Tribune
Republican Party leaders expect President Bushs visit to Southern Oregon Thursday to have a dynamic domino effect
that will ripple through all levels of Oregon politics.
"I think it will energize the base and get Republicans out to vote and get Gordon Smith and Kevin Mannix
elected," said Solomon Yue, Republican national committeeman for Oregon. "It will keep a Republican majority in
the Legislature.
"It lets people know that Oregon is very, very important to the White House."
Others said the presidents message about forest health and the timber industry will boost even county commissioner
races.
"George Bush has a vision and is changing the way we look at things," said Tiny Robertson, chairman of the
Jackson County Republican Party. "Hes popular and any politician that gets on board will be re-elected unless
they really mess up."
Mannix, the Republican gubernatorial candidate, quipped: "There shouldnt be a Democrat in Southern Oregon
after today."
This is the second time in a year that Bush has come to Oregon but the first time hes been in Southern Oregon.
Its the first time a president has made a major policy address in Southern Oregon.
One of Bushs objectives on this trip is to raise money for U.S. Sen. Gordon Smith, who is being challenged by
Democrat Bill Bradbury, now Oregon secretary of state.
Oregon Republican Party Chairman Perry Atkinson said the state is 11th on a list of 19 states being targeted by the White
House.
"What ranks Oregon up the ladder is the significant gains weve already made," Atkinson said.
"Weve picked up seven counties since 2000. We now have 29 out of 36 counties and lowered the registration
gap."
Atkinson and Yue said they expect Republicans to become the states majority party in November. Democrats currently
hold the edge by about 40,000 voters.
Mannix, who is running against Democrat Ted Kulongoski, said Oregonians cant fail to notice that "our
Republican president wants to help us solve major problems."
He said he expects the presidents visit will have the biggest impact among non-affiliated voters.
"Independents will understand I can make use of this positive attitude of the White House and they will imagine a
Governor Mannix working with an administration which is favorably inclined to solve major problems for Oregon,"
Mannix said.
"This is something my opponent wont be able to offer."
But Democrat Bradbury said hes not worried about the presidents visit.
"Obviously any time the president comes to Oregon it has an impact. Obviously it is raising a huge amount of
money," said Bradbury. "But its not something that cant be overcome before Election Day."
"The real issue here is that the president is here because he has a vulnerable member of his party to
defend."
Even Republican county commissioner candidates differ on the impact of the visit on their races.
"Sure, those of us little on the food chain politically will reap from this," said County Commissioner Ric
Holt. "We stand for what he stands for. How could it not?"
County Commissioner Jack Walker said hes not banking on it.
"I think Im relying on my accomplishments," Walker said. "Not the accomplishments of anyone
else."
One of the firefighters who sat on the bleachers behind the president during his speech said the Republicans
optimism over Bushs visit is overblown, at least when it comes to his vote.
"Ill look at their take on the environment," said independent voter Gene Shull, who only two days ago was
lighting burn-out blazes at the Biscuit fire. "Just because the Republicans are close-knit with George Bush
wont swing my vote."
And Shull said he "definitely" wouldnt vote for G.W. He disagrees with most of the presidents
policies on natural resources.
But Shull couldnt help but be awed that Bush had "come to see the little people."
"I hope to meet him," he said just before the president took the podium. "That would be cool."